Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
8.6 miles West of Arbuckle
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.6 miles West of Arbuckle
39.0035°N, 122.2158°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of August 2026
Aug 28, 2026 23:43:38 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
394h 47m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
7fb569caf0f0c1ccf04586f38d758e822441a445d96840d7ceebd4fb21582b05
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-39.00--122.22-t10346
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 12, 2026 12:55:39 PST
Source Batch
20260812_044041_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-11 19:13:48.474080+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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