Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
12.6 miles East of Potter Valley
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.6 miles East of Potter Valley
39.3600°N, 122.8773°W
Forecast Time Window
16th of August 2026
Aug 16, 2026 10:43:17 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
93h 47m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
4e976fbac78d5f138e73e5647c03602c3240745d1449542876d14e1d2b1b142a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-39.36--122.88-t10340
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 12, 2026 12:55:39 PST
Source Batch
20260812_044041_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-11 15:42:08.462036+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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