Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
7.1 miles North-East of Lovelock
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.1 miles North-East of Lovelock
40.2417°N, 118.3665°W
Forecast Time Window
14th of August 2026
Aug 14, 2026 00:17:29 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
227.2 km
127.2 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
8.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.44
Predicted M2.54 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
19.4 km
Pred. 3.4 km vs actual 16.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
547f76e052fa85c2f1a019c374b150ea9453a870449570b47e6ecda3e7f90475
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-40.24--118.37-t10339
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 14, 2026 03:55:00 PST
Source Batch
20260813_182203_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-14 00:23:30.495153+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.